Round 3 · simulation 45 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.090 to 11.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.85 (+0.090)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
42
In: 26
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.959.12+0.1676
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.800.0003
National Security9.429.420.0005
Human Capital12.4812.90+0.4286 → 4
Information & Influence11.8612.04+0.1765
Governance & Integrity12.1112.12+0.0019
Financial Strength13.1613.20+0.0399
Production & Innovation11.8811.880.0008
Trade & Investment12.1812.180.0007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 389, plus 26 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 97 on actions (build 58, buy 19, partner 19). 42 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.67 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by -3 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence19 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills19 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.67+1.670.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.13+1.130.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.49+0.490.000.000.00