Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.103 to 11.95.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.95 (+0.102)
- In: 11.85
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 56
- In: 40
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.12 | 9.12 | 0.000 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.81 | +0.003 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.001 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.90 | 13.51 | +0.603 | 4 → 3 |
| Information & Influence | 12.04 | 12.21 | +0.175 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.12 | 12.12 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.20 | 13.24 | +0.039 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.88 | 11.98 | +0.100 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.18 | 12.18 | 0.000 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 392, plus 40 carried in. Maintenance 280. Spent 97 on actions (build 58, buy 20, partner 20). 56 carried over.
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.40 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills20 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence20 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling20 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.50 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.40 | +1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.03 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.01 | +1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.70 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |