Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.014 to 12.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.22 (−0.014)
- In: 12.23
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 83
- In: 67
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.74 | 10.00 | +0.261 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.45 | 13.41 | −0.039 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.46 | 9.41 | −0.050 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.91 | 14.96 | +0.044 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.65 | 12.52 | −0.131 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.56 | 11.49 | −0.074 | 9 → 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.54 | 12.46 | −0.080 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.19 | 12.23 | +0.037 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.59 | 13.49 | −0.097 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 418, plus 67 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 103 on actions (build 21, buy 62, partner 21). 83 carried over.
- PartnerArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.08 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −24.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.60 | +1.72 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.52 | +1.65 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.97 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.02 |
| Foundational Education | +0.63 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.62 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.62 | +0.54 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.21 |