Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 12.23.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.23 (+0.125)
- In: 12.11
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 70
- In: 52
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.52 | 9.74 | +0.219 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.44 | 13.45 | +0.016 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.46 | 9.46 | +0.002 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.83 | 14.91 | +0.080 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.49 | 12.65 | +0.166 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.57 | 11.56 | −0.005 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.47 | 12.54 | +0.068 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.86 | 12.19 | +0.334 | 5 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.35 | 13.59 | +0.246 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 413, plus 52 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 103 on actions (build 21, buy 41, partner 41). 70 carried over.
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.12 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +2.22 | +2.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.82 | +1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.87 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.85 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.77 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.44 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |