Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.018 to 12.22.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.22 (+0.018)
- In: 12.20
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 33
- In: 49
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.06 | 9.91 | −0.153 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.37 | 13.33 | −0.042 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.36 | 9.31 | −0.048 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.01 | 15.08 | +0.074 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.52 | 12.78 | +0.256 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.41 | 11.34 | −0.075 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.33 | 12.19 | −0.145 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.12 | 12.00 | −0.124 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.61 | 14.03 | +0.422 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 377, plus 49 carried in. Maintenance 299. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 57). 33 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.45 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Education by -1 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −8.0 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.39 | +1.45 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.08 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.70 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Foundational Education | +0.63 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.04 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.63 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.57 | +0.72 | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.01 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.56 | +0.83 | 0.00 | −0.29 | +0.01 |