Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 45 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index +0.008 to 12.23.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.23 (+0.008)
- In: 12.22
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 67
- In: 32
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.91 | 10.02 | +0.112 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.33 | 13.22 | −0.109 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.31 | 9.20 | −0.114 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.08 | 15.19 | +0.113 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.78 | 12.86 | +0.083 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.34 | 11.27 | −0.069 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.19 | 12.06 | −0.123 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.00 | 11.90 | −0.091 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.03 | 14.30 | +0.268 | 5 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 428, plus 32 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 57). 67 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation19 credits for 0.86 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −6.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.39 | +1.48 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.37 | +1.48 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.68 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.05 | −0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.64 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.55 | +0.69 | 0.00 | −0.12 | −0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +0.42 | +0.41 | 0.00 | −0.03 | +0.03 |