Round 18 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.025 to 12.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.66 (−0.026)
In: 12.68
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
224
In: 271
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.8611.30+0.4395
Strategic Infrastructure13.3013.24−0.0563
National Security9.169.18+0.0155
Human Capital15.5015.47−0.0331
Information & Influence13.2513.22−0.0323
Governance & Integrity11.4111.30−0.10910
Financial Strength12.9912.81−0.1838 → 10
Production & Innovation12.6012.44−0.1682
Trade & Investment15.0614.96−0.1002

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 394, plus 271 carried in. Maintenance 327. Spent 114 on actions (buy 91, partner 23). 224 carried over.

  • BuyQuantum Technologies23 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing23 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position23 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.6 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.50+1.650.00−0.16+0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.50+1.670.00−0.170.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.44+1.610.00−0.19+0.01
Quantum Technologies+1.14+1.300.00−0.17+0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.60+0.780.00−0.19+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.51+0.810.00−0.32+0.01