Round 2043
Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.008 to 12.68.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.68 (−0.008)
- In: 12.69
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 285
- In: 266
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.74 | 10.86 | +0.120 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.28 | 13.30 | +0.019 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.13 | 9.16 | +0.031 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.54 | 15.50 | −0.036 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.28 | 13.25 | −0.026 | 2 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.52 | 11.41 | −0.109 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.17 | 12.99 | −0.182 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.55 | 12.60 | +0.055 | 4 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.01 | 15.06 | +0.052 | 3 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 455, plus 266 carried in. Maintenance 323. Spent 113 on actions (buy 90, partner 23). 285 carried over.
- BuyExport Capability & Sophistication23 credits for 1.00 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.42 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion23 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication23 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.40 | +1.54 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.21 | +1.42 | 0.00 | −0.21 | +0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.19 | +1.51 | 0.00 | −0.37 | +0.05 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +1.00 | 0.00 | −0.19 | +0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.60 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.60 | +0.67 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |