Round 3 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.070 to 11.86.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.86 (+0.071)
In: 11.79
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
52
In: 31
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.958.95+0.0016
Strategic Infrastructure13.8013.81+0.0053
National Security9.429.42+0.0025
Human Capital12.4612.84+0.3806 → 4
Information & Influence12.0412.22+0.1785
Governance & Integrity12.1212.12+0.0019
Financial Strength13.2613.32+0.0649
Production & Innovation11.8811.880.0008
Trade & Investment12.1812.180.0007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 396, plus 31 carried in. Maintenance 277. Spent 98 on actions (build 78, partner 20). 52 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence20 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling20 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills20 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFoundational Education20 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.16+1.160.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.04+1.040.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.70+0.700.000.000.00
Foundational Education+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.38+0.380.000.000.00