Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 11.71.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.71 (+0.120)
- In: 11.59
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 31
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 42
- In: 8
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.66 | 8.87 | +0.207 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.51 | 13.50 | −0.011 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.37 | 9.38 | +0.018 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.22 | 14.40 | +0.181 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.59 | 11.73 | +0.138 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.61 | 11.60 | −0.005 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.49 | 12.49 | −0.002 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.46 | 11.68 | +0.220 | 8 → 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.41 | 11.74 | +0.334 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 385, plus 8 carried in. Maintenance 266. Spent 85 on actions (build 17, buy 34, partner 34). 42 carried over.
- BuyArtificial Intelligence17 credits for 1.65 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation17 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion17 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education17 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.80 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.54 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.84 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.71 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.69 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.65 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |