Round 7 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.079 to 11.59.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.59 (−0.078)
In: 11.67
Rank by index
31
In: 31
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
9
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.838.66−0.1716
Strategic Infrastructure13.5913.51−0.0773
National Security9.359.37+0.0175
Human Capital14.0714.22+0.1552
Information & Influence11.8111.59−0.2206
Governance & Integrity11.7411.61−0.1289 → 10
Financial Strength12.7012.49−0.21210
Production & Innovation11.5811.46−0.1268
Trade & Investment11.3611.41+0.0558 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 341, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 269. Spent 66 on actions (build 30, partner 36). 9 carried over.

  • BuildQuantum Technologies15 credits for 0.75 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access15 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position15 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildAdvanced Education15 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.53 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −10.7 points this round.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.87+1.090.00−0.20−0.02
Digital & AI Competence+0.76+0.970.00−0.200.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.52+0.720.00−0.200.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.41+0.650.00−0.21−0.03
Artificial Intelligence−0.410.000.00−0.36−0.05
Digital & Services Trade−0.400.000.00−0.41+0.01