Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.133 to 11.94.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.94 (+0.133)
- In: 11.81
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 77
- In: 56
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.06 | 9.29 | +0.221 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.48 | 13.49 | +0.009 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.38 | 9.38 | −0.004 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.67 | 14.74 | +0.070 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.88 | 12.16 | +0.289 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.60 | 11.62 | +0.026 | 10 |
| Financial Strength | 12.55 | 12.69 | +0.142 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.69 | 11.75 | +0.062 | 6 → 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 11.96 | 12.34 | +0.379 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 394, plus 56 carried in. Maintenance 276. Spent 97 on actions (buy 39, partner 58). 77 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 3 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +7.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.79 | +1.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.68 | +1.64 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.89 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.83 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.83 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.77 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |