Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.141 to 12.08.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.08 (+0.141)
- In: 11.94
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 110
- In: 73
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.29 | 9.35 | +0.062 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.49 | 13.51 | +0.027 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.38 | 9.38 | −0.003 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 14.74 | 14.91 | +0.175 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.16 | 12.33 | +0.166 | 6 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.62 | 11.65 | +0.028 | 10 → 9 |
| Financial Strength | 12.69 | 12.78 | +0.083 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.75 | 11.96 | +0.213 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.34 | 12.86 | +0.520 | 7 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 416, plus 73 carried in. Maintenance 281. Spent 99 on actions (buy 39, partner 59). 110 carried over.
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 0.94 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade20 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.6 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4; Governance & Integrity Tier 10 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.13 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.97 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.09 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.94 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.02 | −0.02 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.92 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.88 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.01 | −0.01 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.85 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 |