Round 20 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.182 to 13.39.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.39 (+0.182)
In: 13.21
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
206
In: 202
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.1012.46+0.3574 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure14.0514.11+0.0573
National Security9.689.69+0.0135
Human Capital15.4515.51+0.0601
Information & Influence13.6714.09+0.4142
Governance & Integrity11.8811.91+0.0389
Financial Strength13.4513.55+0.1008
Production & Innovation12.8513.29+0.4472 → 1
Trade & Investment15.7715.93+0.1531

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 492, plus 202 carried in. Maintenance 367. Spent 121 on actions (buy 121). 206 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity24 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies24 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion24 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence24 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance24 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.77+1.700.00+0.05+0.02
Energy Technologies+1.66+1.580.00+0.05+0.02
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.62+1.580.00+0.01+0.03
Artificial Intelligence+1.51+1.440.00+0.02+0.06
Economic Output & Productivity+1.14+1.100.00+0.02+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.82+0.800.00+0.02+0.01