Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 17 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 13.21.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.21 (+0.120)
- In: 13.09
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 213
- In: 206
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.77 | 12.10 | +0.332 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.93 | 14.05 | +0.124 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.66 | 9.68 | +0.017 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.38 | 15.45 | +0.066 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.52 | 13.67 | +0.150 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 11.84 | 11.88 | +0.036 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.35 | 13.45 | +0.101 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.74 | 12.85 | +0.108 | 3 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.62 | 15.77 | +0.150 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 485, plus 206 carried in. Maintenance 358. Spent 121 on actions (build 24, buy 24, partner 73). 213 carried over.
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion24 credits for 1.15 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 29 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics24 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance24 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks24 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing24 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.40 | +1.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.79 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 |
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +0.76 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.06 |
| Space Technologies | +0.73 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.71 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |