Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.083 to 12.03.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.03 (+0.083)
- In: 11.94
- Rank by index
- 29
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 128
- In: 92
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.01 | 9.04 | +0.022 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.87 | 13.90 | +0.025 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.002 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 12.89 | 13.48 | +0.589 | 4 → 3 |
| Information & Influence | 12.25 | 12.27 | +0.016 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.18 | 12.21 | +0.024 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.21 | 13.24 | +0.024 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.40 | 12.43 | +0.026 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.24 | 12.26 | +0.021 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 424, plus 92 carried in. Maintenance 282. Spent 106 on actions (build 85, partner 21). 128 carried over.
- PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 1.12 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills21 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling21 credits for 1.90 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education21 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.2 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.57 | +1.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.47 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.06 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.78 | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.38 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |