Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.173 to 12.20.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.20 (+0.173)
- In: 12.03
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 156
- In: 121
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.04 | 9.48 | +0.449 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.90 | 13.92 | +0.027 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.42 | +0.003 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 13.48 | 14.13 | +0.646 | 3 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.27 | 12.60 | +0.327 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.21 | 12.23 | +0.025 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.24 | 13.26 | +0.024 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.43 | 12.47 | +0.038 | 6 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.26 | 12.28 | +0.021 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 425, plus 121 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 106 on actions (build 42, buy 64). 156 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 0.91 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 5 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 2.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence21 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +1.2 points this round.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.13 | +2.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +2.11 | +2.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.89 | +1.88 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.57 | +1.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.47 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.38 | +1.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 |