Round 6 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.136 to 12.34.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.34 (+0.136)
In: 12.20
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
153
In: 148
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.489.68+0.1916
Strategic Infrastructure13.9213.93+0.0063
National Security9.429.43+0.0045
Human Capital14.1314.76+0.6282 → 1
Information & Influence12.6012.60+0.0045
Governance & Integrity12.2312.23+0.0019
Financial Strength13.2613.34+0.0739
Production & Innovation12.4712.64+0.1706 → 5
Trade & Investment12.2812.43+0.1437

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 402, plus 148 carried in. Maintenance 291. Spent 106 on actions (buy 64, partner 43). 153 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.09 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.82+1.810.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.17+1.170.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.11+1.090.000.00+0.02
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.01+1.010.000.000.00