Round 7 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.141 to 12.48.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.48 (+0.141)
In: 12.34
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
164
In: 145
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.689.69+0.0176
Strategic Infrastructure13.9313.94+0.0073
National Security9.439.43+0.0055
Human Capital14.7615.15+0.3931
Information & Influence12.6012.77+0.1685
Governance & Integrity12.2312.24+0.0029
Financial Strength13.3413.49+0.1589
Production & Innovation12.6412.90+0.2635 → 4
Trade & Investment12.4312.69+0.2597 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 418, plus 145 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 101 on actions (buy 20, partner 80). 164 carried over.

  • PartnerAdvanced Education20 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.67+1.630.000.00+0.03
Digital & AI Competence+1.01+1.010.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.94+0.940.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.92+0.810.000.00+0.10
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.80+0.770.000.00+0.03