Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.140 to 13.27.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.27 (+0.140)
- In: 13.13
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 201
- In: 195
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.58 | 11.01 | +0.424 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.09 | 14.12 | +0.031 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.52 | 9.54 | +0.021 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.93 | 16.20 | +0.264 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.62 | 13.63 | +0.018 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.26 | 12.26 | +0.004 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.76 | 13.77 | +0.013 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.33 | 13.45 | +0.124 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.04 | 15.40 | +0.359 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 465, plus 195 carried in. Maintenance 344. Spent 115 on actions (build 23, buy 69, partner 23). 201 carried over.
- PartnerSensing, Timing & Navigation23 credits for 1.45 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing23 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education23 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies23 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.69 | +1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.51 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.03 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.82 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.79 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |