Round 14 · simulation 34 · mcts-m2.m2-bra-mcts-tier1

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 34 of Brazil, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.093 to 13.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.36 (+0.094)
In: 13.27
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
181
In: 191
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.0111.27+0.2635
Strategic Infrastructure14.1214.15+0.0273
National Security9.549.65+0.1015
Human Capital16.2016.33+0.1311
Information & Influence13.6313.79+0.1553
Governance & Integrity12.2612.29+0.0349
Financial Strength13.7713.85+0.0768
Production & Innovation13.4513.49+0.0363
Trade & Investment15.4015.42+0.0171

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 465, plus 191 carried in. Maintenance 359. Spent 116 on actions (build 23, buy 47, partner 47). 181 carried over.

  • BuyStrategic Strike & Missile Defence23 credits for 1.60 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence23 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication23 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls23 credits for 1.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance23 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.67+1.610.000.00+0.06
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.84+0.830.000.00+0.01
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.74+0.720.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.55+0.470.000.00+0.07
Foundational Education+0.47+0.450.000.00+0.01