Round 13 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.220 to 11.25.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.25 (−0.220)
In: 11.47
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
352
In: 317
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.908.99+0.0895
Strategic Infrastructure9.769.55−0.2145
National Security5.935.93+0.0047
Human Capital15.1315.02−0.1121 → 2
Information & Influence11.6611.71+0.0526 → 5
Governance & Integrity14.2914.07−0.2216
Financial Strength11.7711.09−0.68111 → 13
Production & Innovation12.7712.28−0.4865
Trade & Investment13.0212.61−0.4065 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 367, plus 317 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 90 on actions (build 18, buy 36, partner 36). 352 carried over.

  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position18 credits for 1.43 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems18 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −19.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.39+1.590.00−0.200.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.35+1.570.00−0.25+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.910.000.00−0.94+0.03
Economic Output & Productivity−0.900.000.00−0.89−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.790.000.00−0.78−0.01
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.760.000.00−0.75−0.01