Round 14 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 11.37.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.37 (+0.117)
In: 11.25
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
353
In: 334
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.999.33+0.3385
Strategic Infrastructure9.559.54−0.0095
National Security5.935.93+0.0017
Human Capital15.0215.04+0.0192
Information & Influence11.7111.85+0.1445 → 4
Governance & Integrity14.0714.06−0.0116
Financial Strength11.0911.31+0.22013 → 11
Production & Innovation12.2812.41+0.1335
Trade & Investment12.6112.82+0.2146

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 345, plus 334 carried in. Maintenance 235. Spent 92 on actions (buy 73, partner 18). 353 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity18 credits for 0.96 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection18 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 0 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power18 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies18 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence18 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 13 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.73+1.460.000.00+0.27
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.58+1.590.000.000.00
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.50+1.510.000.00−0.02
Economic Output & Productivity+1.00+0.960.000.00+0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.82+0.800.000.00+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.70+0.720.000.00−0.01