Round 5 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.150 to 12.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.36 (+0.150)
In: 12.21
Rank by index
26
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
121
In: 102
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.838.46+0.6266 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure11.3211.46+0.1414
National Security7.737.76+0.0296
Human Capital15.4315.64+0.2192 → 1
Information & Influence11.6411.78+0.1385
Governance & Integrity15.9515.96+0.0021
Financial Strength13.3713.38+0.0098
Production & Innovation13.5213.54+0.0214
Trade & Investment13.0613.23+0.1656 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 379, plus 102 carried in. Maintenance 266. Spent 94 on actions (buy 76, partner 19). 121 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.05+1.920.000.00+0.12
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.88+1.880.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.37+1.370.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.31+1.250.000.00+0.07
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.92+0.900.000.00+0.01