Round 4 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.095 to 12.21.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.21 (+0.094)
In: 12.11
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
107
In: 84
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.487.83+0.3486
Strategic Infrastructure11.2611.32+0.0664
National Security7.727.73+0.0076
Human Capital15.2115.43+0.2152
Information & Influence11.5011.64+0.1395
Governance & Integrity15.9515.95+0.0021
Financial Strength13.3413.37+0.0298
Production & Innovation13.5013.52+0.0154
Trade & Investment13.0313.06+0.0326

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 378, plus 84 carried in. Maintenance 262. Spent 92 on actions (build 37, buy 37, partner 18). 107 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 5 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 2 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.87+1.870.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.31+1.310.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.74+0.710.000.00+0.03
Artificial Intelligence+0.700.000.000.00+0.70
Space Technologies+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.65+0.630.000.00+0.02