Round 8 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 12.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.79 (+0.116)
In: 12.67
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
133
In: 127
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.099.48+0.3875
Strategic Infrastructure11.5911.62+0.0354
National Security7.887.94+0.0626
Human Capital15.9816.09+0.1061
Information & Influence12.7512.89+0.1385 → 4
Governance & Integrity15.9715.97+0.0061
Financial Strength13.4213.43+0.0128
Production & Innovation13.7313.89+0.1594
Trade & Investment13.6313.77+0.1325

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 395, plus 127 carried in. Maintenance 292. Spent 98 on actions (build 20, buy 59, partner 20). 133 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 2 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.72+1.710.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.27+1.270.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.99+0.980.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.77+0.760.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.70+0.660.000.00+0.03
Space Technologies+0.61+0.590.000.00+0.02