Round 9 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.338 to 12.45.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.45 (−0.338)
In: 12.79
Rank by index
25
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 2
Credits carried
131
In: 126
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.489.35−0.1345
Strategic Infrastructure11.6211.42−0.2084 → 5
National Security7.947.99+0.0496
Human Capital16.0916.08−0.0151
Information & Influence12.8912.62−0.2744 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.9715.68−0.2951 → 3
Financial Strength13.4312.46−0.9768 → 9
Production & Innovation13.8913.20−0.6884 → 5
Trade & Investment13.7713.27−0.4995

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 404, plus 126 carried in. Maintenance 300. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 59, partner 20). 131 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 1 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.14 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −28.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 1 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.48+1.750.00−0.34+0.08
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.310.000.00−1.34+0.04
Economic Output & Productivity−1.260.000.00−1.26+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−1.140.000.00−1.140.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.110.000.00−1.110.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.100.000.00−1.100.00