Round 10 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.126 to 12.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.58 (+0.126)
In: 12.45
Rank by index
25
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
111
In: 125
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.359.69+0.3465
Strategic Infrastructure11.4211.51+0.0895
National Security7.998.04+0.0556
Human Capital16.0816.14+0.0611
Information & Influence12.6212.64+0.0205
Governance & Integrity15.6815.68+0.0033
Financial Strength12.4612.40−0.0549
Production & Innovation13.2013.57+0.3715 → 4
Trade & Investment13.2713.51+0.2425

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 374, plus 125 carried in. Maintenance 286. Spent 101 on actions (buy 81, partner 20). 111 carried over.

  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.03 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 4 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.22 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.72+1.720.000.00+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.58+1.560.000.00+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.22+1.220.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+1.04+1.030.000.00+0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.91+0.830.000.00+0.09
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.75+0.790.000.00−0.04