Round 12 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.139 to 12.80.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.80 (+0.139)
In: 12.66
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
90
In: 96
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.8510.10+0.2475
Strategic Infrastructure11.5211.52+0.0065 → 4
National Security8.098.13+0.0356
Human Capital16.2216.30+0.0811
Information & Influence12.8913.17+0.2734
Governance & Integrity15.6915.69+0.0013
Financial Strength12.4212.67+0.2499
Production & Innovation13.5613.70+0.1394
Trade & Investment13.7313.94+0.2145

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 388, plus 96 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 96 on actions (buy 57, partner 38). 90 carried over.

  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 0 per cent
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power19 credits for 1.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.51+1.510.000.000.00
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.44+1.450.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.93+0.910.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.82+0.800.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.74+0.740.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.700.000.00+0.01