Round 13 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.101 to 12.90.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.90 (+0.101)
In: 12.80
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
81
In: 85
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.1010.33+0.2295
Strategic Infrastructure11.5211.520.0004
National Security8.138.14+0.0176
Human Capital16.3016.36+0.0541
Information & Influence13.1713.28+0.1154 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.6915.69+0.0013
Financial Strength12.6712.71+0.0389 → 8
Production & Innovation13.7013.72+0.0284 → 3
Trade & Investment13.9414.37+0.4305

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 398, plus 85 carried in. Maintenance 305. Spent 97 on actions (buy 19, partner 78). 81 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position19 credits for 1.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics19 credits for 1.42 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.24 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.56+1.550.000.00+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.80+0.760.000.00+0.04
Global Value Chain Position+0.73+0.720.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.70+0.710.000.00−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.70+0.710.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.64+0.620.000.00+0.02