Round 20 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.186 to 13.81.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.81 (+0.186)
In: 13.63
Rank by index
19
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
4
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology12.2412.68+0.4404 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure11.9612.13+0.1704
National Security8.578.74+0.1696 → 5
Human Capital16.7516.90+0.1491
Information & Influence14.2114.29+0.0832
Governance & Integrity15.9216.07+0.1571
Financial Strength12.8812.96+0.0798
Production & Innovation14.3314.51+0.1752
Trade & Investment15.8016.06+0.2581

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 416. Maintenance 375. Spent 37 on actions (buy 37). 4 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 0.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.56 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power by 1 per cent
  • Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +31.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 3; National Security Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.22+0.950.00+0.270.00
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.88+0.580.00+0.27+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.84+0.690.00+0.14+0.02
Energy Technologies+0.70+0.560.00+0.14+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.410.000.00+0.27+0.14
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.300.000.00+0.27+0.03