Round 19 · simulation 20 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 20 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index +0.083 to 13.63.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.63 (+0.083)
In: 13.55
Rank by index
21
In: 21
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
1
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.9412.24+0.3004
Strategic Infrastructure11.9411.96+0.0194
National Security8.468.57+0.1096
Human Capital16.7516.75+0.0081
Information & Influence14.1514.21+0.0582
Governance & Integrity15.9215.920.0003 → 1
Financial Strength12.8712.88+0.0108
Production & Innovation14.3114.33+0.0182
Trade & Investment15.5815.80+0.2211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 416, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 368. Spent 51 on actions (buy 30, partner 21). 1 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.47 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 2 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics21 credits for 1.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies9 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.49+1.470.000.00+0.02
Space Operations+0.84+0.760.000.00+0.08
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.71+0.700.000.00+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.70+0.690.000.00+0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+0.59+0.580.000.00+0.01
Space Technologies+0.51+0.500.000.00+0.01