Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.019 to 11.81.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.81 (−0.019)
- In: 11.83
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 197
- In: 179
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.89 | 8.02 | +0.128 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.95 | 10.95 | −0.001 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.57 | 7.62 | +0.047 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.23 | 15.30 | +0.066 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.24 | 11.24 | +0.004 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.53 | 15.44 | −0.091 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.58 | 12.43 | −0.156 | 9 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.82 | 12.82 | +0.001 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.62 | 12.45 | −0.170 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 366, plus 179 carried in. Maintenance 252. Spent 96 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 197 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 1 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −25.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.95 | +1.95 | 0.00 | −0.15 | +0.15 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.91 | +0.98 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.89 | +1.05 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.83 | +0.94 | 0.00 | −0.14 | +0.02 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.62 | +0.64 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.06 |
| Space Technologies | +0.48 | +0.64 | 0.00 | −0.17 | +0.01 |