Round 5 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.189 to 11.83.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.83 (+0.189)
In: 11.64
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
188
In: 143
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.227.89+0.6736 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.8010.95+0.1525
National Security7.557.57+0.0246
Human Capital14.9915.23+0.2402 → 1
Information & Influence11.0811.24+0.1616
Governance & Integrity15.4615.53+0.0643
Financial Strength12.5112.58+0.0719
Production & Innovation12.7912.82+0.0265
Trade & Investment12.3312.62+0.2917 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 383, plus 143 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 75). 188 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.95 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 1 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.92 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.41 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+2.01+1.950.00+0.050.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.97+1.920.00+0.050.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.46+1.410.00+0.050.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.38+1.320.00+0.050.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.33+1.270.00+0.03+0.03
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.95+0.920.00+0.030.00