Round 9 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 11.93.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.93 (+0.099)
In: 11.83
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
165
In: 140
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.358.65+0.3055
Strategic Infrastructure10.8410.86+0.0145
National Security7.737.77+0.0426
Human Capital15.3915.50+0.1061
Information & Influence11.7011.91+0.2065
Governance & Integrity15.2515.25−0.0034
Financial Strength12.1312.13−0.00410
Production & Innovation12.5412.66+0.1235
Trade & Investment12.5312.63+0.1007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 364, plus 140 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 81 on actions (buy 49, partner 32). 165 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing16 credits for 1.51 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access16 credits for 1.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 2 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity16 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence16 credits for 1.39 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks16 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.51+1.510.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.36+1.390.000.00−0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.20+1.180.000.00+0.02
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.94+0.950.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.84+0.850.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.77+0.750.000.00+0.02