Round 10 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.109 to 12.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.04 (+0.108)
In: 11.93
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
174
In: 157
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.659.13+0.4745
Strategic Infrastructure10.8610.86+0.0065
National Security7.777.81+0.0386
Human Capital15.5015.59+0.0901
Information & Influence11.9112.01+0.1045
Governance & Integrity15.2515.25−0.0034
Financial Strength12.1312.15+0.02310
Production & Innovation12.6612.67+0.0115
Trade & Investment12.6312.86+0.2327 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 371, plus 157 carried in. Maintenance 263. Spent 91 on actions (build 18, buy 55, partner 18). 174 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education18 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies18 credits for 1.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.59 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.75+1.660.000.00+0.09
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.62+1.620.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.57+1.540.000.00+0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.16+1.160.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.62+0.620.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.59+0.580.000.00+0.01