Round 18 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.258 to 12.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.54 (−0.258)
In: 12.80
Rank by index
25
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
60
In: 87
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.2111.18−0.0324 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure11.2111.02−0.1884
National Security7.847.88+0.0356
Human Capital16.2616.17−0.0901
Information & Influence13.4813.47−0.0173
Governance & Integrity15.2715.02−0.2565
Financial Strength12.0811.24−0.83710 → 11
Production & Innovation13.5812.98−0.5943 → 4
Trade & Investment14.2913.95−0.3433 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 387, plus 87 carried in. Maintenance 320. Spent 95 on actions (buy 57, partner 38). 60 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.38 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −24.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Output & Productivity−1.120.000.00−1.120.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.08+1.380.00−0.300.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.08+1.380.00−0.31+0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−0.960.000.00−0.960.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.930.000.00−0.930.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.930.000.00−0.930.00