Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.084 to 12.81.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.81 (+0.084)
- In: 12.73
- Rank by index
- 23
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 12
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.33 | 11.67 | +0.333 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.13 | 11.16 | +0.032 | 4 |
| National Security | 8.00 | 8.12 | +0.124 | 6 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.31 | 16.31 | 0.000 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.53 | 13.40 | −0.130 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.12 | 15.13 | +0.010 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 11.25 | 11.37 | +0.122 | 11 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.23 | 13.17 | −0.053 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.64 | 14.95 | +0.315 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 385, plus 12 carried in. Maintenance 320. Spent 76 on actions (buy 76). 2 carried over.
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power18 credits for 1.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation18 credits for 1.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies4 credits for 0.26 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 11 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.24 | +1.33 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.03 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.16 | +1.26 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.15 | +1.28 | 0.00 | −0.10 | −0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.85 | +0.88 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.71 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.05 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.63 | +0.70 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.01 |