Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.138 to 11.23.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.23 (+0.139)
- In: 11.10
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 35
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 366
- In: 316
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.56 | 8.27 | +0.706 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.70 | 9.71 | +0.012 | 5 |
| National Security | 5.92 | 6.03 | +0.100 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 15.31 | 15.35 | +0.038 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.55 | 10.83 | +0.283 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.33 | 14.32 | −0.008 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 12.01 | 12.01 | +0.006 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.43 | 12.43 | −0.002 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.04 | 12.15 | +0.111 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 369, plus 316 carried in. Maintenance 222. Spent 98 on actions (build 20, buy 78). 366 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.59 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +2.04 | +1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.83 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.79 | +1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.37 | +1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.98 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.80 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |