Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.110 to 12.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.84 (+0.110)
- In: 12.72
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 208
- In: 205
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.27 | 11.61 | +0.349 | 5 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.21 | 11.25 | +0.037 | 4 |
| National Security | 8.08 | 8.21 | +0.131 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.16 | 16.16 | +0.004 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.44 | 13.55 | +0.108 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.15 | 15.16 | +0.011 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 11.76 | 11.93 | +0.176 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.38 | 13.33 | −0.051 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.08 | 14.30 | +0.223 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 418, plus 205 carried in. Maintenance 317. Spent 98 on actions (buy 98). 208 carried over.
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.42 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power20 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.37 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.41 | +1.37 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.32 | +1.41 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.02 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.26 | +1.42 | 0.00 | −0.14 | −0.02 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.25 | +1.35 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.09 | +1.31 | 0.00 | −0.15 | −0.07 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.69 | +0.75 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.03 |