Round 4 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2030

Round 4 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.086 to 11.40.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.40 (+0.086)
In: 11.31
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
130
In: 79
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.616.89+0.2837 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure10.1610.23+0.0695
National Security6.726.74+0.0106
Human Capital14.7814.92+0.1453 → 2
Information & Influence10.2310.37+0.1346
Governance & Integrity15.0515.05+0.0025
Financial Strength13.1713.27+0.0968
Production & Innovation12.8312.84+0.0125
Trade & Investment12.2512.27+0.0278

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 368, plus 79 carried in. Maintenance 226. Spent 90 on actions (build 18, buy 36, partner 36). 130 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance18 credits for 0.59 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing18 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills18 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks18 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.46+1.460.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.30+1.300.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.77+0.740.000.00+0.02
Space Technologies+0.68+0.680.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.66+0.650.000.00+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.58+0.470.000.00+0.11