Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.107 to 11.51.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.51 (+0.107)
- In: 11.40
- Rank by index
- 33
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 175
- In: 123
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.89 | 7.03 | +0.139 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.23 | 10.36 | +0.132 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.74 | 6.76 | +0.026 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 14.92 | 15.10 | +0.176 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 10.37 | 10.67 | +0.300 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 15.05 | −0.001 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.27 | 13.32 | +0.054 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.84 | 12.83 | −0.015 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.27 | 12.42 | +0.147 | 8 → 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 374, plus 123 carried in. Maintenance 231. Spent 92 on actions (build 18, buy 18, partner 55). 175 carried over.
- PartnerEnergy Technologies18 credits for 1.57 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation18 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access18 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling18 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure18 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +1.32 | +1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.30 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.95 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.91 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |
| Energy Technologies | +0.79 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.78 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |