Round 8 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.130 to 11.63.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.63 (+0.130)
In: 11.50
Rank by index
32
In: 33
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
292
In: 244
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.808.12+0.3226
Strategic Infrastructure10.1310.14+0.0155
National Security6.726.77+0.0476
Human Capital15.1415.21+0.0691
Information & Influence10.6811.25+0.5756
Governance & Integrity14.8914.88−0.0045
Financial Strength13.0613.11+0.0508 → 7
Production & Innovation12.7212.71−0.0085
Trade & Investment12.3612.46+0.1027

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 384, plus 244 carried in. Maintenance 239. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 39, partner 39). 292 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks19 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.84+1.850.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.78+1.730.000.00+0.05
Space Technologies+1.32+1.290.000.00+0.03
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.78+0.790.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.78+0.740.000.00+0.03