Round 2033
Round 7 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.169 to 11.50.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.50 (−0.169)
- In: 11.67
- Rank by index
- 33
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 257
- In: 206
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.74 | 7.80 | +0.056 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.44 | 10.13 | −0.310 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.80 | 6.72 | −0.080 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.24 | 15.14 | −0.095 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 10.84 | 10.68 | −0.164 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.05 | 14.89 | −0.161 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 13.35 | 13.06 | −0.290 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.97 | 12.72 | −0.255 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.58 | 12.36 | −0.220 | 6 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 388, plus 206 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 95 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 57). 257 carried over.
- BuildNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.42 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.30 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −17.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.19 | +1.36 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.60 | −0.02 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.59 | +0.86 | 0.00 | −0.27 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.52 | +0.79 | 0.00 | −0.31 | +0.04 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.49 | −0.03 |
| Space Technologies | +0.51 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.02 |