Round 10 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.126 to 11.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.20 (+0.126)
In: 11.07
Rank by index
34
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
374
In: 310
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.528.11+0.5916
Strategic Infrastructure9.709.72+0.0195
National Security5.835.87+0.0427
Human Capital15.1715.17+0.0021
Information & Influence10.4110.70+0.2856
Governance & Integrity14.3414.33−0.0066
Financial Strength12.1912.27+0.0798 → 7
Production & Innovation12.4412.45+0.0075
Trade & Investment12.0312.14+0.1157

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 382, plus 310 carried in. Maintenance 221. Spent 98 on actions (buy 59, partner 39). 374 carried over.

  • PartnerArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.19 levelsmctsahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks20 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.79 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.04+1.910.000.00+0.13
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.79+1.790.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.38+1.380.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.96+0.910.000.00+0.05
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.79+0.810.000.00−0.02
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.76+0.740.000.00+0.02