Round 11 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.092 to 11.29.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.29 (+0.091)
In: 11.20
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
418
In: 355
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.118.51+0.3966 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure9.729.72+0.0065
National Security5.875.91+0.0387
Human Capital15.1715.17−0.0031
Information & Influence10.7010.97+0.2726
Governance & Integrity14.3314.32−0.0066
Financial Strength12.2712.27+0.0057
Production & Innovation12.4512.47+0.0205
Trade & Investment12.1412.24+0.1007

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 388, plus 355 carried in. Maintenance 229. Spent 96 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 418 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.89 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.77 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.68 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.81+1.810.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.75+1.750.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.89+0.890.000.00+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.84+0.840.000.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.77+0.740.000.00+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.42+0.590.000.00−0.18