Round 16 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 11.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.54 (+0.120)
In: 11.43
Rank by index
32
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
552
In: 510
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.299.80+0.5135
Strategic Infrastructure9.669.66−0.0035
National Security6.086.11+0.0355
Human Capital15.0315.02−0.0052
Information & Influence11.6311.78+0.1514
Governance & Integrity14.0814.07−0.0106
Financial Strength11.8511.85+0.0028
Production & Innovation12.3112.45+0.1435
Trade & Investment12.9113.16+0.2505

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 380, plus 510 carried in. Maintenance 243. Spent 95 on actions (buy 76, partner 19). 552 carried over.

  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.62 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence19 credits for 1.60 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies19 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.61+1.620.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.56+1.570.000.00−0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.55+1.550.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.99+0.800.000.00+0.19
Economic Output & Productivity+0.98+0.980.000.00+0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.89+0.850.000.00+0.05