Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.115 to 11.43.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.43 (+0.114)
- In: 11.31
- Rank by index
- 34
- In: 34
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 537
- In: 492
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.93 | 9.29 | +0.363 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.65 | 9.66 | +0.006 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.01 | 6.08 | +0.065 | 7 → 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.03 | 15.03 | −0.003 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.34 | 11.63 | +0.285 | 6 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.09 | 14.08 | −0.012 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.86 | 11.85 | −0.006 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.31 | 12.31 | −0.002 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.57 | 12.91 | +0.338 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 378, plus 492 carried in. Maintenance 238. Spent 95 on actions (buy 38, partner 57). 537 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence19 credits for 0.63 levelsmctsahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems19 credits for 1.70 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection19 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. National Security Tier 7 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robotics & Autonomous Systems | +1.77 | +1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.68 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.87 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.87 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.82 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.78 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.02 |