Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.028 to 11.59.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.59 (−0.029)
- In: 11.62
- Rank by index
- 32
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 581
- In: 541
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.88 | 10.02 | +0.142 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 9.71 | 9.69 | −0.021 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.23 | 6.34 | +0.102 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.01 | 14.89 | −0.127 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.90 | 11.97 | +0.068 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 14.06 | 13.95 | −0.106 | 6 |
| Financial Strength | 11.88 | 11.70 | −0.171 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.46 | 12.29 | −0.165 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.41 | 13.43 | +0.024 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 392, plus 541 carried in. Maintenance 254. Spent 98 on actions (build 20, buy 39, partner 39). 581 carried over.
- BuildSpace Technologies20 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy20 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −28.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.33 | +1.54 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.89 | +1.08 | 0.00 | −0.20 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | +0.79 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.64 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.02 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.62 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.58 | +0.76 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.01 |