Round 19 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 13 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.033 to 11.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.55 (−0.032)
In: 11.59
Rank by index
32
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
539
In: 552
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.029.98−0.0355
Strategic Infrastructure9.699.69+0.0015
National Security6.346.36+0.0265
Human Capital14.8914.88−0.0062
Information & Influence11.9711.91−0.0514
Governance & Integrity13.9513.85−0.1076
Financial Strength11.7011.52−0.1858
Production & Innovation12.2912.34+0.0435 → 4
Trade & Investment13.4313.46+0.0214 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 340, plus 552 carried in. Maintenance 255. Spent 98 on actions (buy 78, partner 20). 539 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure20 credits for 1.28 levelsmctsahead of Energy Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.41 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade20 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −9.4 points this round.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.36+1.500.00−0.150.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.06+1.410.00−0.350.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.98+1.080.00−0.10−0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.61+0.780.00−0.16−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.60+0.640.00−0.07+0.04
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.56+0.740.00−0.180.00